Development and validation of prognostic nomogram for malignant pleural mesothelioma / 中华肿瘤杂志

Objective: To development the prognostic nomogram for malignant pleural mesothelioma (MPM). Methods: Two hundred and ten patients pathologically confirmed as MPM were enrolled in this retrospective study from 2007 to 2020 in the People's Hospital of Chuxiong Yi Autonomous Prefecture, the First and Third Affiliated Hospital of Kunming Medical University, and divided into training (n=112) and test (n=98) sets according to the admission time. The observation factors included demography, symptoms, history, clinical score and stage, blood cell and biochemistry, tumor markers, pathology and treatment. The Cox proportional risk model was used to analyze the prognostic factors of 112 patients in the training set. According to the results of multivariate Cox regression analysis, the prognostic prediction nomogram was established. C-Index and calibration curve were used to evaluate the model's discrimination and consistency in raining and test sets, respectively. Patients were stratified according to the median risk score of nomogram in the training set. Log rank test was performed to compare the survival differences between the high and low risk groups in the two sets. Results: The median overall survival (OS) of 210 MPM patients was 384 days (IQR=472 days), and the 6-month, 1-year, 2-year, and 3-year survival rates were 75.7%, 52.6%, 19.7%, and 13.0%, respectively. Cox multivariate regression analysis showed that residence (HR=2.127, 95% CI: 1.154-3.920), serum albumin (HR=1.583, 95% CI: 1.017-2.464), clinical stage (stage Ⅳ: HR=3.073, 95% CI: 1.366-6.910) and the chemotherapy (HR=0.476, 95% CI: 0.292-0.777) were independent prognostic factors for MPM patients. The C-index of the nomogram established based on the results of Cox multivariate regression analysis in the training and test sets were 0.662 and 0.613, respectively. Calibration curves for both the training and test sets showed moderate consistency between the predicted and actual survival probabilities of MPM patients at 6 months, 1 year, and 2 years. The low-risk group had better outcomes than the high-risk group in both training (P=0.001) and test (P=0.003) sets. Conclusion: The survival prediction nomogram established based on routine clinical indicators of MPM patients provides a reliable tool for prognostic prediction and risk stratification.

Elevation of C-reactive protein early after cardiopulmonary bypass surgery is associated with occurrence of postoperative atrial fibrillation / 南方医科大学学报

OBJECTIVE@#To explore the association between postoperative C-reactive protein (CRP) levels and the occurrence of postoperative atrial fibrillation in patients undergoing cardiopulmonary bypass surgery.@*METHODS@#We retrospectively analyzed the data of 550 patients undergoing cardiopulmonary bypass surgery in our hospital from September, 2018 to May, 2021, and after screening against the exclusion criteria, 363 patients were selected for further analysis. Univariate analysis was used to analyze the correlation of age and early postoperative CRP level with the occurrence of postoperative atrial fibrillation, and Chi-square test was used to explore the correlation of gender, disease type, and comorbidity with postoperative atrial fibrillation followed by multivariate analysis of the data using a binary logistic regression model.@*RESULTS@#The 363 patients enrolled in this study included 247 with valvular disease, 42 with aortic dissection, 37 with coronary heart disease, and 37 with congenital heart disease, with a median postoperative CRP level of 88.65 mg/L and a median age of 57 years (range 5-77 years). Postoperative atrial fibrillation occurred in 101 (27.82%) of the patients, who were subsequently divided into atrial fibrillation group and sinus group. Univariate and multivariate correlation analyses showed that early postoperative elevation of CRP level was an important factor contributing to the occurrence of postoperative atrial fibrillation.@*CONCLUSION@#Early postoperative elevation of CRP level is associated with the occurrence of atrial fibrillation following cardiopulmonary bypass surgery.